{"id":8315,"date":"2026-10-20T07:29:19","date_gmt":"2026-10-20T10:29:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dunia.earth\/le-grand-jeu-sahelien\/"},"modified":"2026-10-20T20:17:28","modified_gmt":"2026-10-20T23:17:28","slug":"the-great-sahel-game","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/","title":{"rendered":"The Great Sahel Game"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Case study developed following the webinar \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/niofar-ie.africa\/t\/comprendre-l-alliance-des-etats-du-sahel-et-le-nouveau-panaroma-strategique-en-afrique\/24\">The AES and the New Strategic Landscape in Africa,<\/a>\u201d hosted in August 2026 by Niofar IE Afrique, a community of economic intelligence professionals.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Introduction<\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The Alliance of Sahel States (AES) remains on course after three years of existence in a region of the Sahel where the bulk of extremist violence<span id='easy-footnote-1-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-8315' title=' Aina, F., Afolabi, B., Fayemi, J.K. (2025). &lt;em&gt;The Alliance of Sahel States, Democratic Relapse, Insecurity, and the Prospects of Regional (Dis)integration or (Re)integration in West Africa.&lt;\/em&gt; In *Society* (2026) 63:60\u201374. &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s12115-025-01154-0&quot;&gt;https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s12115-025-01154-0&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span> in Africa is concentrated. Formed in September 2023 in the wake of the coups d\u2019\u00e9tat that struck this same geographic region, it was initially established as a defensive agreement aimed at curbing the destabilization of Sahelian states. After coming to power, the military juntas in Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger quickly restructured their external partnerships with France and the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS). They initiated cooperation with other powers (Russia, Turkey, China) and aligned themselves with a heterodox political bloc. Now presenting itself as an \u201cAfrican solution to African problems,\u201d the AES promotes nationalist, sovereignist, decolonial, and even confederal perspectives<span id='easy-footnote-2-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-8315' title=' Treaty of July 6, 2024, establishing the Confederation of Sahel States (AES). Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/droit-et-politique-en-afrique.info\/traite-du-6-juillet-2024-portant-creation-de-la-confederation-des-etats-du-sahel-aes&quot;&gt;https:\/\/droit-et-politique-en-afrique.info\/traite-du-6-juillet-2024-portant-creation-de-la-confederation-des-etats-du-sahel-aes&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span>, crystallizing a much more political perspective on its project and new expectations on the part of the populations. The security issue\u2014though far from resolved<span id='easy-footnote-3-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-8315' title=' Turse, N. (2025). &lt;em&gt;Pentagon: U.S. Counterterrorism Efforts Have Failed Africans&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/archive.ph\/NGozf&quot;&gt;https:\/\/archive.ph\/NGozf&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span> \u2014has thus expanded into the societal and economic spheres, creating a dynamic capable of altering the political and economic status quo in West Africa.<\/p>\n<p>Various analyses have attempted to account for this regionalist approach in media and academic circles<span id='easy-footnote-4-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-8315' title=' This issue prompted the organization to host a webinar on August 29, 2026, with members of the Niofar Economic Intelligence in Africa community &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/niofar-ie.africa&quot;&gt;https:\/\/niofar-ie.africa&lt;\/a&gt;.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span>. Beyond the interpretations offered, however, a more in-depth analysis reveals a very different side to this conflict-ridden environment. The new Sahelian regimes are, in fact, not breaking free from their tutelary dependence on the former European powers. The security response, as well as the original threat itself, are in fact part of the same strategic architecture constructed by these powers and the Sahelian elites with the aim of reconfiguring the subregion. This plan, particularly emblematic of contemporary conflict, is not fully grasped due to its stealthy nature and the cognitive barriers erected by the protagonists, hence the imperative for in-depth analysis of the interpretive frameworks.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Libyan Metastases and the Strategic Framework<\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The 2011 Libyan crisis has indeed upended the fragile security balance in the Sahel region. Some African leaders have pointed to it as a direct consequence of NATO\u2019s adventurism<span id='easy-footnote-5-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-5-8315' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/fr.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Intervention_militaire_de_2011_en_Libye&quot;&gt;https:\/\/fr.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Intervention_militaire_de_2011_en_Libye&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>5<\/sup><\/a><\/span>, as the violent overthrow of the Tripoli government in 2011 provided an opening for jihadist and separatist movements to rush into the gaps left by Saharan states and other regions of the Middle East. The armed and insurgent factions that were strengthened by the events in Libya have indeed spread throughout the subregion as well as into Syria<span id='easy-footnote-6-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-6-8315' title=' Sherlock, R. (2011). &lt;em&gt;Libya\u2019s new rulers offer weapons to Syrian rebels&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/archive.ph\/vNSO&quot;&gt;https:\/\/archive.ph\/vNSO&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>6<\/sup><\/a><\/span>. Insurgent movements have at times been linked to the discretionary maneuvers of external actors, particularly France, which continues to be accused today of supporting rebel groups in Mali<span id='easy-footnote-7-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-7-8315' title='Abdoulaye Diop, Minister of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation of Mali (&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=PtYlKmOSHlY&quot;&gt;https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=PtYlKmOSHlY&lt;\/a&gt;).'><sup>7<\/sup><\/a><\/span>, even though it cooperated militarily from 2014 to 2023 to halt the expansion of armed groups through Operations Serval and Barkhane, conducted alongside the G5 Sahel<span id='easy-footnote-8-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-8-8315' title=' Goya, M. (2021). &lt;em&gt;Barkhane\u2014 Analyse de l&amp;#8217;engagement militaire de la France au Sahel&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.institutmontaigne.org\/expressions\/barkhane-une-analyse-de-lengagement-militaire-francais-au-sahel&quot;&gt;https:\/\/www.institutmontaigne.org\/expressions\/barkhane-une-analyse-de-lengagement-militaire-francais-au-sahel&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>8<\/sup><\/a><\/span>.<\/p>\n<p>In the decade following the Arab Spring and the fall of Tripoli, the strategic narrative that emerged in the Sahel tended to focus on three priority areas: the territorial expansion of irregular groups\u2014perceived to varying degrees as having ties to external powers\u2014which reignited internal tensions and threatened the territorial integrity of Sahelian states; the inertia of the African ruling class and governance models that ultimately limited the ability to break free from the security quagmire and the lag in modernization, including in the area of counterterrorism; and the contradictions within the international system and West African integration that hindered efforts to promote social cohesion in Sahelian societies and limit their fragmentation. These themes broadly formed the underlying framework for the initiatives that were subsequently undertaken regarding partnerships for counterterrorism, regime change through military coups in the three AES countries (as well as in Chad and Sudan), the creation of the tripartite alliance, its compelling narratives, and the political rifts with the West African political community.<\/p>\n<p>Such a framework, while seemingly logical and realistic, is nevertheless incomplete. It overlooks entire aspects of reality that prove more difficult to discern and that have, moreover, been glossed over or overlooked by the intelligence agencies of the powers involved, including those of the Sahelian countries. Yet such a gap in perception is not a circumstantial or marginal phenomenon in the Sahelian arena. It reveals the existence of a balance of power constructed in the cognitive realm, with the aim of obscuring a comprehensive understanding of the issues at stake and the nature of the arena in question.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Revisiting the Sahelian Arena<\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Three key phases allow us to deconstruct this cognitive barrier and fundamentally reframe the Sahelian strategic arena: the shift in neocolonial dominance in Africa after 1945 and Libya\u2019s role up to 2011; the phase of destabilization in Sahelian countries after 2011; and the current initiative of the Alliance of Sahelian States.<\/p>\n<h4><\/h4>\n<h4>The Neocolonial Shift After 1945<\/h4>\n<p>Libya, in fact, plays a dual role as both architect and catalyst in this context. The experiment led by Muammar Gaddafi beginning in 1969 has most often been portrayed as an autocratic, pro-African regime that rejected the liberal foundations of the West<span id='easy-footnote-9-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-9-8315' title=' Isilow, H. (2021). &lt;em&gt;African intellectuals remember the late Muammar Gaddafi as a pan-Africanist&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.aa.com.tr\/en\/africa\/african-intellectuals-remember-late-muammar-gaddafi-as-pan-african\/2397444&quot;&gt;https:\/\/www.aa.com.tr\/en\/africa\/african-intellectuals-remember-late-muammar-gaddafi-as-pan-african\/2397444&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>9<\/sup><\/a><\/span> in favor of an autonomous, socialist model. In reality, on the one hand, Tripoli supported the continent\u2019s national liberation initiatives and the prospects for continental convergence, helping to bring about the establishment of the African Union during the 2000s. On the other hand, Gaddafi\u2019s doctrinal framework introduced the concept of a political \u201cthird way,\u201d distinguishing itself from both communist and capitalist models<span id='easy-footnote-10-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-10-8315' title=' Escape key. (2026). &lt;em&gt;A Total Absence of Responsibility&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/escapekey.substack.com\/p\/a-total-absence-of-responsibility&quot;&gt;https:\/\/escapekey.substack.com\/p\/a-total-absence-of-responsibility&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>10<\/sup><\/a><\/span> and from state and private modes of management. In essence, this model shifted the governance of flows and decisions toward other mechanisms of arbitration and resource allocation, following a monopolistic framework compatible with the matrix provided by Karl Marx, Wilhelm R\u00f6pke<span id='easy-footnote-11-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-11-8315' title='&lt;em&gt;The Third Way: Wilhelm R\u00f6pke\u2019s Vision of Social Order&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/isi.org\/the-third-way-wilhelm-ropkes-vision-of-social-order&quot;&gt;https:\/\/isi.org\/the-third-way-wilhelm-ropkes-vision-of-social-order&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>11<\/sup><\/a><\/span>, or, more recently, by Tony Blair<span id='easy-footnote-12-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-12-8315' title='Brittan, S. (1998). &lt;em&gt;Some reflections on the third way&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20110719021726\/http:\/\/www.samuelbrittan.co.uk\/spee3_p.html&quot;&gt;https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20110719021726\/http:\/\/www.samuelbrittan.co.uk\/spee3_p.html&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>12<\/sup><\/a><\/span>. In other words, the goal of this model was not institutional or economic modernization capable of transcending the limitations of the two classical models, but rather an increase in dependencies and the monopoly of power<span id='easy-footnote-13-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-13-8315' title='Escape key (2026). &lt;em&gt;Ibid&lt;\/em&gt;.'><sup>13<\/sup><\/a><\/span>, formulated within a framework that\u2014like orthodox models\u2014intrinsically decoupled the system\u2019s officially stated objectives from its actual functioning. This same framework was introduced into variants of Arab and African socialism, particularly in Nasserism, Syrian or Iraqi Ba\u2019athism, and later elsewhere in Chinese Dengism<span id='easy-footnote-14-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-14-8315' title=' Escape key (2026). &lt;em&gt;Ibid&lt;\/em&gt;.'><sup>14<\/sup><\/a><\/span>. The European Union and other national initiatives<span id='easy-footnote-15-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-15-8315' title='Singapore, India, Brazil, Germany, Venezuela, China, Nicaragua.'><sup>15<\/sup><\/a><\/span> drew heavily on it, as did the African Union.<\/p>\n<p>This supposedly alternative framework was in reality part of the transition from European colonialism to a new infrastructure of dependencies, this time codified in the rules of the international system and reinforced by the control of national elites. This transformation took ideological shape during the19thcentury, under the leadership of British elites\u2014on the one hand, thanks to the works of Karl Marx, which were guided by Moses Hess and Giuseppe Mazzini<span id='easy-footnote-16-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-16-8315' title='Tarpley, W. (1994). &lt;em&gt;Palmerston during the 1850s: A Tour of the Multicultural Zoo&lt;\/em&gt;. In Larouche EIR, vol. 21, no. 16. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/larouchepub.com\/eiw\/public\/1994\/eirv21n16-19940415\/eirv21n16-19940415_006-palmerstons_london_during_the_18.pdf&quot;&gt;https:\/\/larouchepub.com\/eiw\/public\/1994\/eirv21n16-19940415\/eirv21n16-19940415_006-palmerstons_london_during_the_18.pdf&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>16<\/sup><\/a><\/span> ; on the other hand, through Wilhelm R\u00f6pke, who championed the emergence of the \u201cthird model\u201d and the neoliberal school with the support of the Rockefeller Foundation<span id='easy-footnote-17-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-17-8315' title=' Escape Key (2026). &lt;em&gt;Any Old Ethic Will Do&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/escapekey.substack.com\/p\/the-post-war-third-way&quot;&gt;https:\/\/escapekey.substack.com\/p\/the-post-war-third-way&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>17<\/sup><\/a><\/span>. Fundamentally, the conceptual development of historical materialism\u2014as well as that of capitalism and communism\u2014served the purpose of creating a balance of power between antagonistic forces, including social classes, and of harnessing the dialectical tension between these opposing poles to shape the economic landscape.<\/p>\n<p>It was within this ideological framework that Muammar Gaddafi was trained in London under the auspices of the Foreign Office<span id='easy-footnote-18-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-18-8315' title='&lt;em&gt;Colonel Gaddafi Part II: Gaddafi in London&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/open.spotify.com\/episode\/0NZSkVMp8QdvT81DZvQpXN&quot;&gt;https:\/\/open.spotify.com\/episode\/0NZSkVMp8QdvT81DZvQpXN&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>18<\/sup><\/a><\/span>, and later in Taiwan at the School of Political Warfare (Fu Hsing Kang College<span id='easy-footnote-19-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-19-8315' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Fu_Hsing_Kang_College&quot;&gt;https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Fu_Hsing_Kang_College&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>19<\/sup><\/a><\/span>). The military leaders of the Free Union in Libya drew inspiration from the Nasserist experience, which was supported by the CIA as part of the \u201cFat Fucker\u201d program<span id='easy-footnote-20-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-20-8315' title='Ben Avraham, A. (2020). &lt;em&gt;The CIA\u2019s Project FF: Before the \u201cSpecial Relationship&lt;\/em&gt;.\u201d Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/blogs.timesofisrael.com\/the-cias-project-ff-before-the-special-relationship&quot;&gt;https:\/\/blogs.timesofisrael.com\/the-cias-project-ff-before-the-special-relationship&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>20<\/sup><\/a><\/span>. The methodology employed by the military liberators quickly spread throughout the region\u2014to Iraq (1958), Yemen (1962), and Libya (1969)\u2014with each coup d\u2019\u00e9tat resulting in a similar modus operandi, namely: the establishment of a socializing framework presented as a political \u201cthird way\u201d in opposition to the colonial past; the creation of a single-party system accompanied by people\u2019s assemblies<span id='easy-footnote-21-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-21-8315' title=' Escape Key (2026).&lt;em&gt; Ibid.&lt;\/em&gt;'><sup>21<\/sup><\/a><\/span> ; and the nationalization of resources. While facing repression by military apparatuses and various forms of destabilization, the national liberation movements were in fact supported behind the scenes by the former colonial powers, with incidental assistance from Cuban Castro-communism, whose first leader was none other than another ally of the Anglo-American establishment<span id='easy-footnote-22-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-22-8315' title=' Soulard, F. (2026). &lt;em&gt;Fighting in the New World&lt;\/em&gt;. Dunken.'><sup>22<\/sup><\/a><\/span>. This same establishment could also count on African allies. In Ghana, one of the founders of the republic, Edward Akuffo-Addo, was a member of the highest echelons of the British establishment (Middle Temple<span id='easy-footnote-23-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-23-8315' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Edward_Akufo-Addo&quot;&gt;https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Edward_Akufo-Addo&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>23<\/sup><\/a><\/span>). In fact, he pushed the country to become actively involved in the Bandung \u201cNon-Aligned Movement\u201d (1955), which was presented as a force in apparent break with the European colonial era. In South Africa, Nelson Mandela was a Freemason supported by the British MI6<span id='easy-footnote-24-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-24-8315' title=' Dorril, S. (2000). &lt;em&gt;MI6: Fifty Years of Special Operations&lt;\/em&gt;. Simon &amp;amp; Schuster.'><sup>24<\/sup><\/a><\/span> with the aim of leading the anti-apartheid movement and integrating the country into the emerging system of dependencies. One thing leading to another, most of the continent\u2019s Marxist leaders were thus supported by Anglo-American decision-making centers, with the tacit approval or direct backing of other European powers.<\/p>\n<p>During this transition from one system to another, the new African republics established between 1950 and 1960 put in place new mechanisms for institutional standardization. This was the case with the network of organizations associated with the Royal Institute of International Affairs (Chatham House), which has since provided guidance to African elites<span id='easy-footnote-25-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-25-8315' title='South Africa : South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA), Nigeria: Nigerian Institute of International Affairs (NIIA), Egypt: Egyptian Council for Foreign Affairs (ECFA), Morocco: Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), Algeria: Centre Africain d\u2019\u00c9tudes et de Recherche sur le Terrorisme (CAERT), Tunisia: Institut Tunisien des \u00c9tudes Strat\u00e9giques (ITES), Ghana: Legon Centre for International Affairs and Diplomacy (LECIAD), Ivory Coast: Centre Ivoirien de Recherches \u00c9conomiques et Sociales (CIRES), Senegal: Consortium pour la Recherche \u00c9conomique et Sociale (CRES), Kenya: Kenya Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis (KIPPRA), Ethiopia: Institute for Peace and Security Studies (IPSS), Tanzania: Economic and Social Research Foundation (ESRF), Uganda: Uganda Institute of Peace and Development Studies, Rwanda: Institute of Research and Dialogue for Peace (IRDP), Cameroon: Institut des Relations Internationales du Cameroun (IRIC), Zambia: Zambia Institute for Policy Analysis and Research (ZIPAR), Zimbabwe: Sapes Trust, Namibia: Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR), Botswana: Botswana Institute for Development Policy Analysis (BIDPA).'><sup>25<\/sup><\/a><\/span> and shaped their policies within each national context. The creation of central banks<span id='easy-footnote-26-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-26-8315' title='Except for Muammar Gaddafi\u2019s Libya, which remained outside the international banking system.'><sup>26<\/sup><\/a><\/span> and the centralization of the banking sector were other mechanisms that enabled control over economic flows through inclusion (or exclusion) in the international financial network, as well as economic conditionality. In West Africa, the Central Bank of West African States embodies this role as a clearinghouse at the subregional level<span id='easy-footnote-27-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-27-8315' title='King, I. (2022). &lt;em&gt;True Sovereignty? The CFA Franc and French Influence in West and Central Africa&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/harvard-international-review.ghost.io\/true-sovereignty-the-cfa-franc-and-french-influence-in-west-and-central-africa\/&quot;&gt;https:\/\/harvard-international-review.ghost.io\/true-sovereignty-the-cfa-franc-and-french-influence-in-west-and-central-africa\/&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>27<\/sup><\/a><\/span>. Guinea, moreover, refused to join this system coordinated by France and suffered economic repercussions as a result<span id='easy-footnote-28-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-28-8315' title=' Probably as part of a dialectical approach. See Sylla, N.S. (2020). &lt;em&gt;The Franc Zone, a Tool of French Neocolonialism in Africa&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/jacobin.com\/2020\/01\/franc-zone-french-neocolonialism-africa&quot;&gt;https:\/\/jacobin.com\/2020\/01\/franc-zone-french-neocolonialism-africa&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>28<\/sup><\/a><\/span>. Conversely, China\u2019s entry into the network in 1996<span id='easy-footnote-29-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-29-8315' title='&lt;em&gt;The BIS invites nine new members to join it&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bis.org\/media-releases\/19960909-bis-invites-nine-new-members-join-it&quot;&gt;https:\/\/www.bis.org\/media-releases\/19960909-bis-invites-nine-new-members-join-it&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>29<\/sup><\/a><\/span> coincided with its economic takeoff. More recently in Libya, the rebels who seized Benghazi in 2011 immediately established a central bank as well as an associated oil company<span id='easy-footnote-30-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-30-8315' title='Newman, A. (2011). &lt;em&gt;\u201cLibyan Rebels\u201d Create Central Bank, Oil Company&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/thenewamerican.com\/world-news\/africa\/libyan-rebels-create-central-bank-oil-company\/&quot;&gt;https:\/\/thenewamerican.com\/world-news\/africa\/libyan-rebels-create-central-bank-oil-company\/&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>30<\/sup><\/a><\/span>. The same strategy was replicated in Iraq, Serbia, Ukraine, and Syria\u2014which joined the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) network in 2024<span id='easy-footnote-31-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-31-8315' title=' Escape key (2026).&lt;em&gt;The Full Technical Stack&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/escapekey.substack.com\/p\/the-full-stack&quot;&gt;https:\/\/escapekey.substack.com\/p\/the-full-stack&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>31<\/sup><\/a><\/span> following the overthrow of Bashar al-Assad\u2019s regime<span id='easy-footnote-32-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-32-8315' title='He himself was educated in Great Britain and is part of the &lt;em&gt;establishment&lt;\/em&gt;.'><sup>32<\/sup><\/a><\/span>. Only Algeria, Morocco, and South Africa are currently full members of the BIS, with most sub-Saharan countries cooperating seamlessly with it. Finally, it is worth noting that the African Union, through its Agenda 2063<span id='easy-footnote-33-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-33-8315' title='&lt;em&gt;Projets phares de l&amp;#8217;Agenda 2063&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/au.int\/fr\/agenda2063\/projets-phares&quot;&gt;https:\/\/au.int\/fr\/agenda2063\/projets-phares&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>33<\/sup><\/a><\/span>, aligns with this framework by explicitly promoting the creation of banking governance mechanisms or other regulatory instruments that directly echo this new structure of dependencies.<\/p>\n<p>Libya thus served as a sort of catalyst for the regional order that took shape in the postcolonial period. It staged a center of dissent against European hegemony\u2014masked behind a false antagonism\u2014in order to lay the foundations for a new system of subordination for African and Middle Eastern states. Tripoli also contributed to destabilizing the Sahelian countries by establishing, prior to 2011, an Islamist platform capable of fueling border conflicts. The overthrow of the Tripoli regime was described by many critics of Western-oriented policies as a NATO intervention that toppled a pan-African regime. It is indeed undeniable that Operation \u201cOdyssey Dawn,\u201d authorized by the five members of the UN Security Council under the pretext of protecting the population of Benghazi, exceeded its mandate and was ultimately intended to determine the fate of the Libyan regime. Nevertheless, such a narrow interpretation contributes to the cognitive containment built around the Libyan case and substantially undermines the depth of this arena. The five powers of the Security Council do not act within the compartmentalized framework of their national sovereignty and are in fact controlled by London<span id='easy-footnote-34-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-34-8315' title='Soulard, F. (2026). &lt;em&gt;False Dichotomy and Sino-American Convergence&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/false-dichotomy-and-sino-american-convergence\/&quot;&gt;https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/false-dichotomy-and-sino-american-convergence&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>34<\/sup><\/a><\/span>, which implies that the unanimous goal of the operation was, from the outset, to overthrow the Gaddafi regime and, eventually, to create a source of instability in the subregion. The maneuvers undertaken at the same time by Jeffrey Epstein<span id='easy-footnote-35-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-35-8315' title='Davis, A.R. (2026). &lt;em&gt;Epstein Emails Expose Western Attempts to Exploit Libyan Assets Prior to Gaddafi\u2019s Downfall&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.moroccoworldnews.com\/2026\/02\/277449\/epstein-emails-expose-western-attempts-to-exploit-libya-assets-prior-to-gaddafi-downfall\/&quot;&gt;https:\/\/www.moroccoworldnews.com\/2026\/02\/277449\/epstein-emails-expose-western-attempts-to-exploit-libya-assets-prior-to-gaddafi-downfall\/&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>35<\/sup><\/a><\/span> involving the laundering of Libyan funds tend to confirm this plan<span id='easy-footnote-36-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-36-8315' title=' Escape key (2026). &lt;em&gt;Epstein III. The Intelligence Channel&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/escapekey.substack.com\/p\/epstein-iii&quot;&gt;https:\/\/escapekey.substack.com\/p\/epstein-iii&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>36<\/sup><\/a><\/span>.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>The Destabilization of the Sahel After 2011<\/h3>\n<p>The Libyan crisis, which spread to parts of Africa beginning in 2011, is not isolated from the architecture of influence we discussed earlier. The year 2011 was the year of the Arab Spring. Protests began in Tunisia in December 2010, then spread to Libya in January 2011, followed by Egypt, Yemen, and Syria. The National Transitional Council (NTC) was formed in Libya in February 2011 in the city of Benghazi. It comprised a loose coalition of mercenaries and armed groups concentrated primarily in Benghazi itself and in the areas of Tobruk and Derna. Most of these forces were affiliated with Al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) and the Libyan Islamic Fighting Group (LIFG), the two entities that provided the main contingent of jihadists in the Iraqi theater<span id='easy-footnote-37-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-37-8315' title=' Combating Terrorist Center (2007). &lt;em&gt;Al-Qa\u2019ida\u2019s Foreign Fighters in Iraq: A First Look at the Sinjar Records&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;http:\/\/tarpley.net\/docs\/CTCForeignFighter.19.Dec07.pdf&quot;&gt;http:\/\/tarpley.net\/docs\/CTCForeignFighter.19.Dec07.pdf&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>37<\/sup><\/a><\/span><span id='easy-footnote-38-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-38-8315' title=' Tarpley, W.G. (2011). &lt;em&gt;The CIA\u2019s Libya Rebels: The Same Terrorists Who Killed U.S. and NATO Troops in Iraq&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20110418032318\/http:\/\/tarpley.net\/2011\/03\/24\/the-cia%E2%80%99s-libya-rebels-the-same-terrorists-who-killed-us-nato-troops-in-iraq&quot;&gt;https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20110418032318\/http:\/\/tarpley.net\/2011\/03\/24\/the-cia%E2%80%99s-libya-rebels-the-same-terrorists-who-killed-us-nato-troops-in-iraq&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>38<\/sup><\/a><\/span>. The Islamist leader Abdelhakim Belhadj, who served on the Benghazi Transitional Council and later on the Tripoli Military Council, was supported by MI6<span id='easy-footnote-39-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-39-8315' title=' Nimmo, K. (2015). &lt;em&gt;CIA Asset Joins Islamic State in Libya \u2013 Abdelhakim Belhadj Worked with the U.S. and NATO to Overthrow Gaddafi&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.globalresearch.ca\/cia-asset-joins-islamic-state-in-libya-abdelhakim-belhadj-worked-with-u-s-and-nato-to-overthrow-gaddafi%E3%80%80-%E3%80%80\/5434923&quot;&gt;https:\/\/www.globalresearch.ca\/cia-asset-joins-islamic-state-in-libya-abdelhakim-belhadj-worked-with-u-s-and-nato-to-overthrow-gaddafi%E3%80%80-%E3%80%80\/5434923&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>39<\/sup><\/a><\/span> and Qatar<span id='easy-footnote-40-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-40-8315' title=' Curtis, M. (2021). &lt;em&gt;Four terrorists who murdered Britons fought in David Cameron\u2019s war in Libya&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.dailymaverick.co.za\/article\/2021-05-25-four-terrorists-who-murdered-britons-fought-in-david-camerons-war-in-libya\/&quot;&gt;https:\/\/www.dailymaverick.co.za\/article\/2021-05-25-four-terrorists-who-murdered-britons-fought-in-david-camerons-war-in-libya\/&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>40<\/sup><\/a><\/span>, while France supplied equipment to various armed groups<span id='easy-footnote-41-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-41-8315' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/fr.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Abdelhakim_Belhadj&quot;&gt;https:\/\/fr.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Abdelhakim_Belhadj&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>41<\/sup><\/a><\/span>. MI6 and the CIA, also present on the ground<span id='easy-footnote-42-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-42-8315' title='&lt;em&gt;Ibid&lt;\/em&gt;.'><sup>42<\/sup><\/a><\/span>, had in fact sponsored the Libyan Islamic Fighting Group a few years earlier<span id='easy-footnote-43-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-43-8315' title='Curtis, M. (2021). &lt;em&gt;Ibid&lt;\/em&gt;.'><sup>43<\/sup><\/a><\/span>.<\/p>\n<p>Along the way, these organizations became the linchpin of an insurgent force challenging Muammar Gaddafi\u2019s regime. They were openly supported by NATO\u2019s military actions in March 2011 and ultimately led to the regime\u2019s definitive downfall in October 2011. Most analyses of the terrorist phenomenon have gone to great lengths to compartmentalize the relationships between these irregular groups and their patron powers. French officer Pierre-Henri Buel, for example, courageously highlighted the evidence that the phantom organization Al-Qaeda<span id='easy-footnote-44-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-44-8315' title='Bunel, P.H. (2016). &lt;em&gt;Is Al Qaeda an \u201cExistential Threat\u201d? What is the Meaning of Al Qaeda in Arabic?&lt;\/em&gt; Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.globalresearch.ca\/al-qaeda-the-database-2\/24738&quot;&gt;https:\/\/www.globalresearch.ca\/al-qaeda-the-database-2\/24738&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>44<\/sup><\/a><\/span> was fabricated to legitimize the war on terrorism beginning in 2001, while attributing its origins exclusively to the U.S. agenda. British journalist Mark Curtis, for his part, exposed the incestuous relationships between national intelligence agencies, governments, and Islamist organizations mobilized in Iraq, Libya, and Syria. These two authors, however, along with many others, deliberately glossed over the depth of this issue. In reality, the vast majority of Islamist groups were sponsored by a handful of powers\u2014falsely portrayed as competing with one another\u2014whose hierarchical coordination was ensured by British intelligence<span id='easy-footnote-45-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-45-8315' title='Curtis, M. (2018). &lt;em&gt;Secret Affairs: Britain\u2019s Collusion with Radical Islam&lt;\/em&gt;. Serpent\u2019s Tail.'><sup>45<\/sup><\/a><\/span> and the Romano-British establishment<span id='easy-footnote-46-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-46-8315' title=' Edward, M. (2044). &lt;em&gt;The Crown Temple&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/archive.li\/gjrbf&quot;&gt;https:\/\/archive.li\/gjrbf&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>46<\/sup><\/a><\/span>. This same establishment shaped a superstructure, formed over a long historical process, that oversees the infrastructure of dependencies mentioned above. Like other previous initiatives, this one has shaped a new insurrectionary phenomenon, embodied this time in Islamist movements (Wahhabism, the Muslim Brotherhood, etc.), whose intellectual origins date back to the18thcentury and which are exploited today as a vehicle for destabilization. To this end, the same superstructure has introduced a compartmentalization into interstate relations and the cognitive sphere that renders this strategic landscape invisible. This stealth now allows Russia, China<span id='easy-footnote-47-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-47-8315' title='Soulard, F. (2026). &lt;em&gt;Ibid.&lt;\/em&gt;'><sup>47<\/sup><\/a><\/span>, and Turkey to actively intervene in the Sahel region and build influence there, while being positioned as an alternative to Western influence.<\/p>\n<p>The tensions affecting Sahelian states since 2011 are thus linked to a covert strategy aimed at destabilizing Africa through extremist splinter groups. This strategy operates dialectically, by fomenting insurrectionary networks on the one hand, and supporting efforts toward regime change by political or military forces on the other. In October 2017\u2014well before the \u201cbelt of coups\u201d and the formation of the Sahelian Alliance\u2014the Tongo Tongo ambush in Niger was likely coordinated between U.S. intelligence and fighters from the Islamic State in the Greater Sahara (ISGS)<span id='easy-footnote-48-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-48-8315' title=' &lt;em&gt;The Book of Trump &amp;#8211; Chapter 10: The Tongo Tongo Ambush&lt;\/em&gt; &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/rumble.com\/v6r44ha-the-book-of-trump-chapter-10.html&quot;&gt;https:\/\/rumble.com\/v6r44ha-the-book-of-trump-chapter-10.html&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>48<\/sup><\/a><\/span>. This incident served to justify an increased security presence to replace the former French military presence. Against the backdrop of \u201cshared common values<span id='easy-footnote-49-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-49-8315' title='Turse, N. (2023). &lt;em&gt;AFRICOM Chief to Congress: We Share \u201cCore Values\u201d With Coup Leaders&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/archive.ph\/5mmAM&quot;&gt;https:\/\/archive.ph\/5mmAM&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>49<\/sup><\/a><\/span>,\u201d the United States also trained Sahelian troops and the officers who carried out the coups<span id='easy-footnote-50-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-50-8315' title=' Turse, N. (2023). &lt;em&gt;How Many More Governments Will American-Trained Soldiers Overthrow?&lt;\/em&gt; Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/archive.ph\/xI1rZ&quot;&gt;https:\/\/archive.ph\/xI1rZ&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>50<\/sup><\/a><\/span>, notably Assimi Goita in Mali<span id='easy-footnote-51-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-51-8315' title=' Paquette, D. (2020). &lt;em&gt;Mali coup leader was trained by the U.S. military, officials say&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.the-independent.com\/news\/world\/africa\/mali-coup-leader-us-military-colonel-assimi-goita-a9682426.html&quot;&gt;https:\/\/www.the-independent.com\/news\/world\/africa\/mali-coup-leader-us-military-colonel-assimi-goita-a9682426.html&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>51<\/sup><\/a><\/span> and Ibrahim Traor\u00e9<span id='easy-footnote-52-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-52-8315' title='Turse, N. (2022). &lt;em&gt;Another U.S.-Trained Soldier Stages a Coup in West Africa&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/archive.ph\/PQZR8&quot;&gt;https:\/\/archive.ph\/PQZR8&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>52<\/sup><\/a><\/span> in Burkina Faso<span id='easy-footnote-53-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-53-8315' title='York, G., Chase, S. (2020). &lt;em&gt;For the second time in eight years, a coup in Mali has been led by a U.S.-trained soldier&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/world\/article-for-second-time-in-eight-years-a-coup-in-mali-has-been-led-by-a-us&quot;&gt;https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/world\/article-for-second-time-in-eight-years-a-coup-in-mali-has-been-led-by-a-us&lt;\/a&gt; '><sup>53<\/sup><\/a><\/span>. European Union training missions also participated in this training as part of the fight against terrorism<span id='easy-footnote-54-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-54-8315' title=' European Union Training Mission in Mali &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/European_Union_Training_Mission_in_Mali&quot;&gt;https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/European_Union_Training_Mission_in_Mali&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>54<\/sup><\/a><\/span>. Finally, regarding irregular groups, it is worth noting that various observers have pointed to funds received by Boko Haram and the Islamic State<span id='easy-footnote-55-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-55-8315' title='Ubani, C. (2025). &lt;em&gt;Congressman Reveals That U.S. Aid Funds Boko Haram, the Taliban, and Other Terrorist Groups&lt;\/em&gt;. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/westafricaweekly.com\/congressman-discloses-that-u-s-aid-funds-boko-haram-taliban-and-other-terrorist-groups&quot;&gt;https:\/\/westafricaweekly.com\/congressman-discloses-that-u-s-aid-funds-boko-haram-taliban-and-other-terrorist-groups&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>55<\/sup><\/a><\/span> from the U.S. agency USAID.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h4>The Alliance of Sahel States<\/h4>\n<p>The Alliance of Sahel States was founded in this context in September 2023. Initially established as a security pact<span id='easy-footnote-56-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-56-8315' title='Liptako-Gourma Charter. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/aes.ml\/download\/charte-de-liptako-gourma-instituant-lalliance-des-etats-du-sahel\/?wpdmdl=2354&amp;amp;refresh=6a06d9954be071778833813&quot;&gt;https:\/\/aes.ml\/download\/charte-de-liptako-gourma-instituant-lalliance-des-etats-du-sahel\/?wpdmdl=2354&amp;amp;refresh=6a06d9954be071778833813&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>56<\/sup><\/a><\/span>, it expanded into a confederation project<span id='easy-footnote-57-8315' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/dunia.earth\/en\/the-great-sahel-game\/#easy-footnote-bottom-57-8315' title=' Treaty establishing the AES Confederation. Available at &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/aes.ml\/download\/traite-portant-creation-de-la-confederation-aes\/?wpdmdl=2356&amp;amp;refresh=6a06d99549fd11778833813&quot;&gt;https:\/\/aes.ml\/download\/traite-portant-creation-de-la-confederation-aes\/?wpdmdl=2356&amp;amp;refresh=6a06d99549fd11778833813&lt;\/a&gt;'><sup>57<\/sup><\/a><\/span> a few months later, shortly after the withdrawal of three countries from the West African bloc (ECOWAS)58 . The project was not challenged by either France or the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), which initially resisted the initiative but did not respond with an intervention similar to the one carried out in The Gambia in 201759 . After September 2023, security partnerships with Turkey and Russia60 expanded to include the three countries of the tripartite alliance6162 , without Ankara\u2019s well-known support for Islamic movements being viewed as problematic. In the wake of this, in October 2023, France quickly withdrew its troops deployed in the region63 , unlike the United States, whose forces remained in place64 and would subsequently increase their presence. As part of this same realignment, various regional programs integrated into the World Health Organization\u2019s One Health health surveillance framework65 (RESAOLAB and Labo2S) curiously accelerated their preparations66 even before the July 2023 coup in Niger and announced that they were operational67 . These initiatives remained intact after the formation of the AES, whereas in the energy sector, uranium exports to France were suddenly halted68 .<\/p>\n<p>In terms of economic policy, the AES countries subsequently initiated an initial shift characterized by endogenous and nationalization-oriented policies. This led to the creation of the Confederal Investment and Development Bank (BCID-AES69 ), the standardization of customs duties, digital identity management, as well as a number of nationalizations in the mining sector70 . Despite the fragile security situation, the bloc posted average growth of approximately 5.5% in 2025, with forecasts remaining high relative to the sub-Saharan average71 . During the same period, intra-AES and intra-ECOWAS trade did not show any substantial change, remaining at around 12% of West African trade7273 .<\/p>\n<p>On the informational and political fronts, the AES quickly embraced an aggressive and polarizing agenda, championing a pan-African, sovereignist camp opposed to Euro-Atlantic hegemony and other historical forces that have exerted dominance over African societies, notably the Arab-Muslim conquests7475 . This informational activism is underpinned by a veritable media ecosystem, bolstered by the creation in late 2025 of a dedicated television channel (T\u00e9l\u00e9 AES76 ). The narratives generally converge on promoting a multipolar geopolitical order, rejecting neocolonialism77 while distancing themselves from social Marxism. France is accused of supporting rebel groups or Islamic terrorism\u2014an argument that is not entirely unfounded, as we have seen above78 , but one that should be more solidly substantiated, lest it fuel the perceptual compartmentalization of the arena. A similar claim can be made regarding the historical episodes of Muslim conquest, insofar as these took place in a dialectical partnership with the Roman Empire (and not against Rome79 ). Added to this critical analysis is a critique of the institutions of the international system\u2014notably the IMF, the World Bank, and the European Union\u2014as well as NATO and the CIA in their role of covert destabilization. In this regard, ECOWAS and neighboring countries are portrayed as following the same tendency toward alignment with the camp of dependency. Within the pan-African sphere supportive of the AES, various sectors\u2014ranging from anti-establishment to anti-imperialist movements\u2014promote military juntas in the media for their break with the orthodox order and their support for a security policy deemed consistent. This is the case with Russia, which has developed a distinctly anti-Western policy of influence80 . The information war waged by Moscow81 is, however, countered by a local and international information sub-ecosystem that challenges Russia\u2019s presence in the region and the criminal activities carried out by Moscow\u2019s parastatal organizations (Africa Corps, Wagner). This tension, which is part of a dialectical pattern, contributes to further polarizing the Sahelian arena and obscuring the deeper layers of its architecture.<\/p>\n<p>Overall, this informational landscape bears the hallmarks of an information war82 far more than a simple media confrontation between the opposing camps. The organization of planned offensive campaigns on both sides, astroturfing, propaganda and its respective exposure, disinformation, and perceptual polarization are among the primary modes of confrontation. A superficial interpretation of this arena tends to draw two main battle lines between the governments of the AES on one side and domestic and foreign critics on the other. In fact, the majority of existing analyses follow this trend8384 . But the dialectical nature of the arena fundamentally precludes reasoning within this simplistic framework. It even subverts the very purpose of information warfare. The information conflicts drawn between Russia, France, the United States, and the three countries of the tripartite alliance exist not with the aim of establishing genuine power dynamics or ensuring one side\u2019s victory over the other, but rather primarily to create a perceptual smokescreen and mask the underlying strategy of tension. In this sense, the fabrication of conflict within this arena is coherent and attests to the fact that France, the United States, Russia, and the Sahelian states are working in concert to establish this dialectical approach and create a cognitive smokescreen for a deeper agenda. This strategy is the opposite of what is dramatized in the information sphere: it is driven by a unified, non-compartmentalized framework and therefore requires, in terms of understanding the situation, that one position oneself within the strategic verticality of the geopolitical chessboard and construct an alternative polemological framework.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Conclusion<\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The three phases we have just discussed offer particularly rich strategic insights at the African level. The Sahel subregion\u2014which ranks among the most disadvantaged in terms of its integration into globalization and its exposure to contemporary Islamist violence\u2014entered a new geopolitical cycle following the pivotal years of 2011\u20132012. Despite appearances, the pact sealed in 2023 within the tripartite alliance does not coincide with a new endogenous security initiative implemented by military juntas determined to break with the previous model. In reality, the three countries of the new Sahelian bloc are mimicking the subregion\u2019s security recovery, as well as its economic revitalization, within what is described as a \u201cthird political way.\u201d This project draws on certain conceptual tools (the \u201cthird way\u201d) and narratives (post-neocolonialism, Pan-Africanism, independence). It has yielded some positive economic results, while the security equation remains far from resolved. Fundamentally, the agenda being pursued and the nature of the actors involved create a dynamic that is steering the three countries toward subordination to external interests and a reconfiguration of the regional order.<\/p>\n<p>The lack of clarity regarding this structure is a key finding of our analysis. This new Sahelian arena is difficult to grasp because it is fundamentally dual in nature, in the sense that it appears to be an endogenous, \u201cpan-Africanist\u201d politico-military response, while in reality it masks a form of external interventionism. Upstream, the security problem\u2014caused by the intensification of insurgencies and the territorial proliferation of Islamist splinter groups\u2014has been fueled largely by the situation in Libya and external interests, whereas the subsequent security response\u2014embodied in the overthrow of governments and the formation of the Alliance of Sahel States\u2014served to facilitate a takeover by military juntas and a realignment of the three countries within the AES. The shift toward new partnerships with the entry of Russia and Turkey is also part of this dialectical mechanism. These two countries, like the United States85 , France, and even China86 , are part of the same geopolitical globalism orchestrated by the Romano-British establishment. The dialectical arena also completely alters the nature of the enemy. For the peoples of the Sahel, the enemy is not so much any one specific actor\u2014such as the military juntas, France, Russia, Islamist factions, etc.\u2014but rather the entire conflict environment itself, and in particular its architects. The arena thus creates an optical illusion that makes camps appear to be in pseudo-opposition, an effect made all the more powerful by the absence of a historical description of this strategic framework in scholarly literature and the media. Finally, action in the cognitive realm\u2014through altered ontologies, false dichotomies, biased knowledge production, media flows, etc.\u2014constantly obscures the true line of confrontation by establishing simplistic and secondary power dynamics. The result of this dialectic is ultimately a failure on the part of Sahelian societies to perceive this conflict-ridden environment and a hindrance to the emergence of alternative forces or resistance movements.<\/p>\n<p>The second perspective concerns the objectives pursued by this architecture. One of the operational principles applied in this Sahelian \u201cgrand game\u201d is to use the conflict created by rebel and Islamist factions to legitimize regime change and a programmatic shift in West Africa. This programmatic agenda intensified and became more radical with the formation of the tripartite alliance in September 2023. However, the profile of the new military leaders, the chronic presence of armed Islamist groups, and the difficulty in containing their territorial activities make it unlikely that security is a genuine priority for the overarching structure governing this arena, nor for the external partners involved in it (previously France, and now the United States, Russia, and Turkey). In practice, organized violence remains methodologically \u201cuseful\u201d insofar as it dialectically legitimizes a state of emergency at the helm of the three Sahelian countries and emergency security measures. In terms of the political agenda, the three countries have launched initiatives aligned with the global establishment\u2019s programmatic priorities, namely the promotion of biometric identification87 , the integrated and standardized management of resources88 , as well as participation in health surveillance systems89 (to be implemented before 2023). Although the AES has rhetorically questioned the monetary foundations of the West African Economic and Monetary Union (UEMOA), plans for central bank digital currencies in Nigeria90 and within the West African Economic and Monetary Union (UEMOA) have not been called into question thus far91 . These various elements, consistently championed in the pursuit of national autonomy, are also evident in the African Union\u2019s Agenda 206392 .<\/p>\n<p>This framework suggests that the Sahelian arena, like other ongoing dynamics in Africa, is intended to accelerate its integration into the infrastructure currently being deployed along the Silk Roads and related logistics corridors. The fact is that trade corridors have been identified as a priority for the AES93 . On the one hand, Nigeria serves as a maritime entry point for one of these corridors, which spans the Sahara to connect the Algerian coast of the Mediterranean94 . On the other side are Ghana and Togo, which serve as two other entry points capable of connecting Ouagadougou and Niamey95 . On a continental scale, it is noteworthy that other regions involved in the establishment of these land and maritime corridors96 are mired in conflicts that are being exploited to force their reconfiguration and plunder within the framework of this infrastructure. Ukraine97 , Iran98 , and the Gaza Strip99 are two cases that are both tragic and paradigmatic of these restructuring processes, the mechanisms of which are clearly identifiable. In other words, the deployment of these corridors within these various contexts is accompanied by violent destabilization and reconfiguration efforts whose nature is analogous to those we have observed in the Sahel.<br \/>\nThe acceleration\u2014or at least the strategic use\u2014of conflict in the Sahel and across Africa is, for the time being, irreversible. This makes it urgent to develop a new framework for understanding reality by forging a framework capable of describing the mechanisms and strategies that shape this type of architecture. To date, the analytical frameworks of conflict studies and strategic intelligence have not facilitated such an effort. Nor will they do so in the future, given their inherent biases and limitations. The perpetuation of dependencies and subordination lies precisely in this mental insularity, which obscures the contours of the true offensive architecture. The call to develop new intellectual tools is therefore extended to all nonconformist and daring Africans who are concerned about this development.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Bibliography<\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Ukaegbu, C.O., Okoroafor, C.A., Biereenu-Nnabugwu, M. (2026). <em>Tri-state Confederation and Reconfiguration of State Relations in ECOWAS Sub-region. A theoretical discourse<\/em>. In IJIRT, Vol. 12 Issue 9, ISSN: 2349-6002.<\/li>\n<li>Dalong, F., Izu, S. I. (2026). <em>The Rise of the Alliance of Sahel States (AES): A Study of Post-Colonial Sovereignism as a Driver of Regional Realignment<\/em>. In Social Sciences Journal of Policy Review and Development Strategies, Vol. 7, n\u00ba1, Nile University of Nigeria, Abuja. DOI:10.48028\/iiprds\/ssjprds.v7.i1.17<\/li>\n<li>Aina, F., Afolabi, B., Fayemi, J.K. (2026). <em>The Alliance of Sahel States, Democratic Relapse, Insecurity, and the Prospects of Regional (Dis)integration or (Re)integration in West Africa<\/em>. In Soc 63, 60\u201374 (2026). https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s12115-025-01154-0<\/li>\n<li>Bello Umar, M. (2026). <em>Regional security complexes and African foreign policies: ECOWAS and the Sahel security order<\/em>, 2012\u20132025. In Front. Polit. Sci. 8:1836500. doi:10.3389\/fpos.2026.1836500.<\/li>\n<li>Adjei Arhin, C. (2025). <em>A Theoretical Analysis of Security-Led Integration: The Case of Alliance of Sahel States (AES)<\/em>. In International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, Vol. IX, Issue IX, <a href=\"https:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.47772\/IJRISS.2025.909000277\">https:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.47772\/IJRISS.2025.909000277<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li>Aina, F. (2026). <em>Why Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger\u2019s new plan to tackle extremist violence is likely to fail<\/em>. Disponible sur <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/why-burkina-faso-mali-and-nigers-new-plan-to-tackle-extremist-violence-is-likely-to-fail-248277\">https:\/\/theconversation.com\/why-burkina-faso-mali-and-nigers-new-plan-to-tackle-extremist-violence-is-likely-to-fail-248277<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Constantine, A. (1995). <em>Psychic Dictatorship in the U.S.A<\/em>. Feral House.<\/li>\n<li>Curtis, M. (2018). <em>Secret Affairs. Britain\u2019s Collusion with Radical Islam<\/em>. Serpent\u2019s Tail.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div class=\"hr-thin\"><\/div>\n<h3>Notes<\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; Case study developed following the webinar \u201cThe AES and the New Strategic Landscape in Africa,\u201d hosted in August 2026 by Niofar IE Afrique, a community of economic intelligence professionals. &nbsp; Introduction &nbsp; The Alliance of Sahel States (AES) remains on course after three years of existence in a region of the Sahel where the&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":8312,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[86],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8315","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-case-studies","category-86","description-off"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Great Sahel Game - 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